Seminario del Dpto. de Lógica, Historia y Filosofía de la ciencia (UNED)
MARTES, 13 DE OCTUBRE, 12.00
Sala 06, Edificio de Humanidades (Senda del rey 7, 28040 Madrid)
Mauricio Suárez (UCM), The Chances of Propensities
I argue that propensities ground and explain objective physical chances, and that the appropriate representation of these chances is as indexed probability functions. I review three different models, or accounts, for the relation between propensity properties and their chancy or probabilistic manifestations, in terms of conditionals, conditional probability, and indexed unconditional chance functions respectively. I argue that the first two accounts confront important objections, which the third one overcomes. A number of further advantages of the indexed probability account are discussed, which suggest that it is promising as a general theory of objective physical chance.